Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229560           1          21          62          15           1        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826863           5          45          41           9           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.09000e-07           2          45          47           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       32.75       53.00       11.25        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7