Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230236           1          20          59          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845827           5          52          37           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.16000e-07           2          42          50           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.75       40.25       45.25       10.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5