Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231759           3          16          57          21           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000872154           3          40          47          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.40000e-07           3          33          54          10           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             3.50       34.00       49.50       12.25        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.9