Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232962           2          15          64          17           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884915           1          35          54          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.92000e-07           3          25          64           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             2.75       30.25       55.75       10.75        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4