Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232225           3          15          59          21           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875772           4          39          47          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.51000e-07           4          35          51          10           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.50       27.00       56.00       12.25        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4