Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233358           3          16          60          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898484           3          32          49          14           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             3.25       20.25       58.25       16.75        1.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1