Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234940           5           9          59          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912871           3          25          50          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.73000e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       13.75       62.50       19.50        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6