Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231323           4          16          60          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000855904           7          50          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   2.68000e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.25       33.50       52.25        8.75        1.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2