Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229815           1          21          60          16           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823543           8          41          44           7           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.45000e-07           3          35          54           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.50       35.25       50.25        9.25        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B8.2