Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226367           4          35          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000750345          19          41          33           7           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.66000e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.75       46.75       34.75        7.75        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6