Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224999           6          45          44           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000730930          26          47          21           6           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   1.29000e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            13.75       54.00       28.50        3.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8