Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225312           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000735461          24          44          25           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   1.40000e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.25       51.00       32.50        5.25        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3