Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226952           2          35          49          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000755463          18          42          31           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.85000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             8.50       42.25       38.00       11.25        0.00     B9.9
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8