Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229365           1          23          61          14           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000788330          13          47          35           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   2.68000e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             5.25       38.00       48.50        8.00        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4