Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231396           3          16          61          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000806306          11          45          40           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   3.99000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             4.50       20.75       61.25       11.75        1.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4