Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238059           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000874122           3          38          50           9           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   7.60000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       19.75       54.25       19.25        4.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5