Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234189           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831240           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   4.66000e-07           2           1          77          19           1        C4.7
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             3.50       20.75       60.75       13.25        1.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6