Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235734           3          13          57          24           3        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850753           7          50          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.08000e-07           2           0          65          32           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             4.00       22.75       54.75       17.25        1.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M5.6