Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233921           4          13          63          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833531           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   4.23000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.75       28.00       54.00       13.00        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3