Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237031           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862757           6          44          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   6.08000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.50       27.00       50.75       16.75        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5