Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233757           4          12          64          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000853241           7          51          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   3.65000e-07           2           6          75          17           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             4.25       28.75       53.25       13.00        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4