Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231692           3          15          59          20           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820109           6          46          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.12000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.50       31.00       52.75       11.00        0.75     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4