Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229710           1          20          61          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000803785          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.29000e-07           4          36          51           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.25       38.25       45.75        8.25        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2