Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228726           2          27          61          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781748          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.09000e-07           2          45          47           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.25       43.25       43.50        7.00        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)