Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227662           3          34          52          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000769593          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.88000e-07           6          46          39           9           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.00       44.75       39.00        8.25        0.00     B9.1
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0