Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225668           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000740325          22          42          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.26000e-07           7          62          31           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.50       50.50       33.50        5.50        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4