Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224258           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000719106          29          48          19           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.02000e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            14.25       55.25       26.50        4.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0