Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223689           6          47          42           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000718420          28          47          21           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.09000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            12.00       50.75       33.00        4.25        0.00     B6.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)