Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223246           6          52          35           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000702886          25          52          20           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   9.64000e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            11.00       54.50       29.50        5.00        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)