Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222367           6          45          43           6           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000684486          24          54          18           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.02000e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            11.00       51.25       32.50        5.25        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)