Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223044           6          50          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686397          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.03000e-07           6          59          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            10.75       53.75       30.25        5.25        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)