Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224068           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000705820          27          49          21           3           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.38000e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                            10.75       46.50       37.75        4.50        0.50     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3