Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227004           2          32          52          14           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746009          20          41          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.92000e-07           6          44          43           7           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             8.25       41.00       41.25        9.50        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6