Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229206           1          23          63          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000774798          15          45          34           6           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.71000e-07           1          35          58           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             4.50       29.75       56.00        9.25        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8