Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229130           1          23          62          13           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000747612          20          41          31           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.57000e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             5.50       28.00       55.25       10.75        0.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1