Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229823           1          21          60          16           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000772611          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             6.25       33.00       50.50        9.50        0.75     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6