Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230207           1          21          58          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000785135          13          48          33           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.07000e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             6.00       32.25       50.25       10.75        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4