Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230854           4          19          57          18           2        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000788340          13          47          35           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   3.22000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             6.75       31.25       50.00       11.50        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1