Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231108           4          17          59          18           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820107           6          46          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   2.81000e-07           3          27          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             3.50       26.75       56.25       12.75        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2