Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230673           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815102          10          43          40           7           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   2.69000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             4.25       29.00       54.50       11.50        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3