Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233274           3          17          61          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851545           7          50          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.65000e-07           2           6          75          17           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             3.25       18.25       60.50       16.25        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1