Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235774           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868741           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.83000e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.25       13.25       62.25       20.00        2.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9