Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241079           1           6          63          23           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915524           3          24          51          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   9.21000e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            96           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        7.50       56.00       29.00        6.25     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      M7.6