Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239762           1           6          67          21           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000897496           3          33          50          12           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   7.65000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            66           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75       11.50       59.50       23.50        3.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9