Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240392           1           6          62          24           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919714           2          22          52          21           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.43000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       12.50       56.00       25.25        4.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M4.5