Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236073           2          14          57          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000857456           7          51          35           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.57000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.00       29.25       48.50       16.50        1.75     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      M5.5