Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231377           3          17          60          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791776          14          47          34           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   4.00000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             6.25       30.25       50.75       11.75        1.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3