Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222506           6          46          42           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000651194          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   9.66000e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            15.50       55.75       25.25        3.50        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7