Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222360           7          45          42           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000647654          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.15000e-07           6          59          33           2           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            14.00       53.75       29.00        3.25        0.00     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7