Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222480           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000653955          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.09000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            16.50       55.75       24.75        3.00        0.00     B4.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8